Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.055961 1.200737 1.358470 1.543142 1.753522 1.985841 2.262013
2025-12-14 0.799890 0.988581 1.212060 1.496547 1.849551 2.273841 2.823578
2025-12-21 0.666625 0.872758 1.131426 1.480434 1.940077 2.526246 3.333019
2025-12-28 0.596835 0.819153 1.111673 1.525687 2.098360 2.865249 3.974873
2026-01-04 0.521023 0.744675 1.051178 1.503225 2.155531 3.066737 4.443532
2026-01-11 0.478399 0.709118 1.037103 1.539124 2.291752 3.384005 5.100393
2026-01-18 0.434854 0.666225 1.006253 1.544575 2.380189 3.635823 5.680960
2026-01-25 0.391663 0.618548 0.962331 1.523783 2.423703 3.820118 6.171218
2026-02-01 0.351415 0.570859 0.912948 1.488039 2.437784 3.956362 6.593603
2026-02-08 0.316705 0.528278 0.867017 1.452193 2.446183 4.081065 7.004579
2026-02-15 0.296025 0.506481 0.852167 1.465172 2.535004 4.343161 7.669029
2026-02-22 0.273836 0.479896 0.826658 1.456992 2.585659 4.543138 8.241469
2026-03-01 0.246613 0.444442 0.786879 1.427608 2.609801 4.722954 8.842723
2026-03-08 0.219710 0.407239 0.741186 1.384487 2.607841 4.862213 9.398996
2026-03-15 0.200364 0.381510 0.712981 1.369607 2.655089 5.094398 10.155763
2026-03-22 0.190701 0.372771 0.714898 1.411402 2.814266 5.553866 11.411453
2026-03-29 0.174405 0.349403 0.686523 1.390656 2.847250 5.769619 12.197032
2026-04-05 0.165934 0.340569 0.685321 1.423812 2.992223 6.223905 13.532903
2026-04-12 0.155264 0.326100 0.671316 1.428847 3.078684 6.565919 14.666761
2026-04-19 0.143262 0.307591 0.647145 1.409644 3.110798 6.795450 15.577556
2026-04-26 0.131192 0.287694 0.618077 1.376630 3.108690 6.949656 16.333969
2026-05-03 0.120301 0.269265 0.590330 1.343522 3.102489 7.093351 17.081682
2026-05-10 0.114055 0.260548 0.582891 1.355511 3.200902 7.484745 18.468271